EU REFERENDUM REPORT: EUROPEAN SCENARIOS 2025. Brexit can lead to Europe’s collapse and world chaos. Staying in the EU leads to a sustainable world. New European scenarios report highlights consequences of voting on the EU Referendum.

BRAND EU, the independent brand marketing champion of the European Union, presents its latest project and report: “FUTURE OF EUROPE - SCENARIOS 2025”, four scenarios looking into the potential futures of Europe and their impact on UK and the world.

In this report, Nicolas De Santis, President of Gold Mercury International and founder of the BRAND EU Centre, examines how the difference between a ‘Brexit’ or ‘Bremain’ can lead to four very different European scenarios that impact the entire world.

This is a historic vote that can change the future of the entire continent. The scenarios clearly show that Brexit generates long term uncertainty, instability and potentially chaos for the UK, Europe and the world.”

Enrique Baron Crespo – Former President of the European Parliament

The scenarios are based on two key questions:
1) Will people’s identity become more nationalistic or will they see themselves more as global citizens sharing one planet and universal values?
2) In the future, will Europe be more divided or more united?

These two questions address people’s perceptions of self-identity and how they feel about supranational concepts such as ‘global citizenship’ and ‘European identity/citizenship’. The scenarios also explore what happens if Europe becomes more united or divided.

The aim of this report is to illustrate these diverse scenarios and examine what kind of future each one will bring if certain paths and self-identities are chosen. This analysis is intended to be accessible for everyone and shows clearly that the citizens’ support or opposition to the EU will have a dramatic impact on themselves, their community and the future of the world. As such, the UK’s EU referendum is not merely a national referendum, but a global one.

DOWNLOAD THE REPORT

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USING GREEK MYTHOLOGY TO DESCRIBE THE FOUR SCENARIOS
Using ancient Greek mythology as a base, the four scenarios are:
Scenario 1) Icarus’s Fall – Breakdown of Europe
Scenario 2) Ulysses’ Sirens Song -EU: Loss of combined power in the world
Scenario 3) Achilles’ Heel – EU maintains status quo. Rests on its laurels.
Scenario 4) Hercules’ Labours – Team Europe: The EU as a force for good in the world.

SCENARIOS_4

 

The four scenarios described (Icarus’s Fall, Ulysses’ Sirens Song, Achilles’ Heel and Hercules’ Labours) range from the collapse of the European Union and the subsequent global chaos, to the continuation of the European Union project as a force for good in the world.

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At the same time, the four scenarios focus on six crucial themes relating to the EU: EU Citizenship: Rights and Identity, EU Security and Peace, EU Single Market, Euro Currency, EU Enlargement and Neighbourhood, and The EU as a Global Actor.

SCENARIOS_EXAMPLE

 

The document provides a ‘big picture’ approach and a future vision of the true meaning and consequences of people’s vote by objectively showing and raising awareness among the population about the risks and opportunities that our present decisions carry on EU matters.

The four scenarios can and must learn from the lessons of the past, especially from the devastating lessons of WWI and WW2, when Europe was disunited, to reflect a very real scenario of a break-up of Europe and to what it can lead to in an uncertain world. An awareness of the different worlds described in these scenarios offers the opportunity to the people of the UK, Europe and the world to realise how important the EU has been in bringing stability to the continent.

Nicolas De Santis, founder of BRAND EU, said

From our experience developing strategic vision, this is a simple and clear way of envisaging the most likely four future scenarios for the Union to which we all belong. It’s easy to see in which of them you position yourself, and then, to take a sound decision before the EU referendum”.

As such, the scenarios project is also directed towards all of the European citizens across the 28 member-states and beyond that are in need of some guidance on the future of the European Union. In this way, BRAND EU and Gold Mercury International aim to show the great achievements that the EU has delivered so far and give a portrayal of how said achievements could be further advanced, improved, worsened or even totally destroyed, depending on how the UK votes in the EU referendum.

Scenario thinking is a way of approaching the future that is commonly used as a tool for creating long-term strategy; normally used by private and public sector organisations as well as civil society. Scenarios are tools that are used to define potential futures and paths. They create a frame of reference that decisions can be based on, in order to achieve common desired outcomes. A scenario exercise is innovative and important because in the midst of a deep conflict (like deciding to stay in or leave the EU) it can create a narrative that brings people together from across diverse organisations, affiliations and areas of thought, and teach them to think creatively about the common future of their community, country or continent.

 

 

On the BRAND EU Centre: Founded by Gold Mercury International, the Global Vision Strategy Think Tank and Consultancy, the BRAND EU Centre is a London-based pro-EU research and communications centre that works to re-invent the EU’s brand vision and kick-start the new European enlightenment. BRAND EU, is generating a people’s movement for the millions that believe in European unity and want to engage actively to innovate and reinvent Brand Europe. As an independent centre BRAND EU is not funded or affiliated with any EU institutions or governmental bodies, nor is it connected to any political parties. For more information about our activities and projects, visit our website brandeu.eu.

On Nicolas De Santis: The author of the report is Nicolas De Santis, President of think tank Gold Mercury International and founder of the BRAND EU Centre. As a tech entrepreneur and co-founder of opodo.com, Nicolas De Santis, is one of the CEOs of some of the UK’s biggest start-ups that have signed an open letter against EU exit appearing in the FT. De Santis created Captain Euro®, Europe’s Superhero, in the 1990’s to help launch the EURO currency. He recently relaunched Captain Euro® as part of the BRAND EU initiative. captaineuro.eu

On Gold Mercury International: Founded in 1961, Gold Mercury works with companies, governments, organisations and leaders to navigate global complexity and develop the strategic visioning and innovation required to build the sustainable business models, cultures and brands for the future. goldmercury.org

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jokinbEU REFERENDUM REPORT: EUROPEAN SCENARIOS 2025. Brexit can lead to Europe’s collapse and world chaos. Staying in the EU leads to a sustainable world. New European scenarios report highlights consequences of voting on the EU Referendum.
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Top European Union Institution Interviews Gold Mercury President

Nicolas De Santis on the key issues surrounding the future vision of Europe and its brand identity.

Nicolas De Santis was interviewed by the EU’s European Economic and Social Committee (EESC) about the need to build a socially just and cohesive Europe based on shared values, and he talked about the BRAND EU Centre’s goals and the identity problem in Europe. He discusses the important role of organisations like the EESC, and how they can adapt to the changing climate and dangerous Euroscepticism, and highlight the important role and work that they do within the EU framework.

The EU’s Economic and Social Committee is the body of the European Union established by the Treaty of Rome to unite the different economic interest groups and establish a Single Market. The EESC includes employers’ organisations, trade unions and civil society, and it is mandatory for the EESC to be consulted on the issues stipulated in the treaties, and in all cases where EU institutions deem it appropriate. It is a key organization for democratic representation of different interests.

You can read the full interview here.

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Brand EU Centre Featured on RT (Russian Television)

As part of the continued global media coverage into the launch and programmes of the BRAND EU Centre, RT (Russian Television) visited Gold Mercury International's London Headquarters to find out more about the BRAND EU Centre and its activities.

The interview looks into the reasons for the BRAND EU Centre’s creation, and offers a behind-the-scenes glimpse into BRAND EU’s work at its London Headquarters.

“The EU is currently distant and boring; our role is to make it interesting, relevant. So if we can make you smile about it, and we can turn the European Union into something cool that you can actually talk about at a dinner without putting people to sleep, then we’ve done our job.”

Nicolas De Santis, President of Gold Mercury International, interviewed by Polly Boiko for RT (Russian Television).
At the BRAND EU Centre, we believe in building a strong brand for the European Union; an identity which its citizens can be proud of, fully understand, and support moving forwards. Our work focuses on keeping Europe together and building the Union with the participation of European citizens. To do this and defend the EU from Eurosceptic EU myth making, we need to create a clear vision of Europe and a strong EU brand to support it.

BRAND EU POSTER CAMPAIGNS
The interview also touched briefly on the poster advertising campaigns which have been recently launched, with the aim of creating a completely new approach to talking about the EU and foster a new common European identity.

To further the BRAND EU centre’s goal of making the EU fun and engaging for citizens, the centre has launched the first set of posters in its series of campaigns about the EU – starting by looking at the World Cup. The advertising posters aim to combine humour with serious, emotional messages to elicit a response from the reader and get people thinking about Europe in a new way.

As of today there are still 4 European Union teams contending for the world cup! France, Germany, Belgium and the Netherlands…good luck EU!

“At Brand EU HQ, tongue-in-cheek posters talking about EU teams in the World Cup are interspersed with more serious messages about the inception of the European Union and the fall of the Berlin Wall.”

RT Correspondent Polly Boiko talking about Brand EU’s poster campaigns in the interview.

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Brand EU Centre Featured in El Pais Newspaper – June 2014

Gold Mercury's newly launched BRAND EU Centre was recently featured in El Pais newspaper, in an article by Walter Oppenheimer.

You can read the El Pais Newspaper article here.

Nicolas De Santis, the President of Gold Mercury International, talked in the paper a little bit about the BRAND EU’s goals and the path being taken to fight back the rising tide of Euroscepticism – particularly in regards to the centre’s recent efforts at mythbusting and fact sharing. One of the centre’s core principles is looking at how the rebranding is not a quick job – the European Presidency has a new logo every six months, and changing the hearts and minds of citizens is not so simple as a quick logo change. The Centre first aims to combat the Eurosceptic myths and distortions about the EU, then clarify and develop the current and future situation of the European identity, and then finally, develop powerful emotional messages that can reach the citizens.

He also discussed the way in which Eurosceptics have played up to citizens’ grievances in a similar way to national politicians; by blaming national problems on Europe while simultaneously claiming its successes as their own. The BRAND EU Centre aims to reshape this wholly negative discourse (even those who defend Europe do so through the lens of avoiding disaster rather than looking at the many positives), and turn around the sense of European negativity.

Image Credit: Image by Javier Micora on Flickr. Some rights reserved

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